FTI TechnipFMC plc
Energy · doubler · MEDIUM confidence
45.8
Alpha Score
Price
$74.76
Win Prob
68%
Half-Kelly
10.0%
Shares
133
📊 Scoring Waterfall
Each factor's weighted contribution to the total alpha score. Formula: contribution = (raw / max) × weight × 100
Fundamentals
0 / 20
· weight 15%
· 0.00 pts
Momentum
1.0 / 1.0
· weight 15%
· 15.00 pts
Options
3 / 20
· weight 15%
· 2.25 pts
Implied
0.68 / 1.0
· weight 10%
· 6.80 pts
Volume
0 / 2
· weight 10%
· 10.00 pts
Relative Strength
0 / 3
· weight 10%
· 2.50 pts
Technical
12 / 15
· weight 10%
· 8.00 pts
Pattern
20.0 / 20
· weight 5%
· 5.00 pts
Mean Reversion
0 / 2
· weight 5%
· 2.50 pts
Quality
3 / 5
· weight 5%
· 3.00 pts
🚀 Doubler Bonus: +20.0 pts
Stocks that have doubled in price get a 20-point bonus in the doubler-first strategy
Total Alpha Score
75.0
🎯 Factor Radar
📉 Entry Signal
Signal Type
PULLBACK
Entry Zone
$71.85 – $74.76
Signal Strength
4/5
ATR (14)
$2.33
🛡️ Trailing Stops
Initial Stop
$67.77
-9.3%
Trail at +50%
$84.11
Trail at +100%
$127.09
Stop Type
atr (9.3%)
📐 Kelly Criterion
Win Probability (p)
0.68
Avg Win (b)
0.70
Avg Loss
0.09
Win/Loss Ratio
7.527
Formula
f* = (p×b - q) / b
= f* = (0.68 × 7.53 - 0.32) / 7.53 = 63.7%
Full Kelly
63.7%
Half-Kelly ✅
31.9%
📝 capped at 10% (MEDIUM confidence)
Suggested Shares
133
Position Size
9.9%
📊 Options Flow
IV Rank
36.8
IV Current
0.50
P/C OI Ratio
0.31
P/C Vol Ratio
0.43
IV Regime
normal
Squeeze
No
Analyst Target
$67.86
Analyst Upside
-9.2%
Rating
Buy
📅 Earnings Risk
Earnings Date
2026-04-30
Days Away
4 days
Risk Flag
⚠️ Yes
🎯 Confidence Factors
●
outperforming sector
●
oversold bounce setup
●
earnings within 2 weeks